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Madison, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Madison AL
National Weather Service Forecast for: Madison AL
Issued by: National Weather Service Huntsville, AL
Updated: 4:50 am CDT Jul 10, 2025
 
Overnight

Overnight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Calm wind.
Mostly Cloudy

Thursday

Thursday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.  New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Partly Cloudy

Friday

Friday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Chance
T-storms
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Partly Cloudy

Saturday

Saturday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Chance
T-storms

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Partly Cloudy

Sunday

Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Chance
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Lo 70 °F Hi 87 °F Lo 71 °F Hi 89 °F Lo 71 °F Hi 90 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 92 °F Lo 72 °F

Dense Fog Advisory
 

Overnight
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Calm wind.
Thursday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Friday
 
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Saturday
 
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Saturday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Sunday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Monday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Tuesday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92.
Tuesday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Wednesday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Madison AL.

Weather Forecast Discussion
299
FXUS64 KHUN 100828
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
328 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

...New NEAR TERM...

.NEAR TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 328 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Patchy fog has developed across portions of northern Alabama and
southern middle Tennessee early this morning in areas that
received rainfall. Additionally, some light rain showers (and a
few rumbles of thunder) have redeveloped along a residual outflow
boundary. This activity will likely continue at least for the next
couple of hours, before diminishing close to sunrise. Any fog
will also quickly dissipate by mid-morning, resulting in at least
some partly cloudy conditions through the remainder of the
morning. Expect a pretty similar day to yesterday across the
Tennessee Valley as yet another shortwave clips the area, helping
to generate additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms (40-60%
chance). A few of these storms could become locally strong, with
gusty winds the main concern. Additionally, this activity will be
capable of producing locally heavy downpours and thus we will need
to monitor for a localized flash flooding threat in locations that
receive repeated rainfall. The denser cloud cover will keep
temperatures in check today, with highs remaining in the
mid/upper 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 938 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025

As an upper shortwave trough over the Ohio and Tennessee valleys
shifts to the northeast, a weak, upper ridge moves over the
Southeast. However, ripples of shortwaves look to move over the
Ohio Valley and into the northern portion of the Tennessee Valley
through the period. Additionally, a more potent shortwave trough
is shown to progress over the north-central CONUS and over the
Great Lakes this weekend. At the surface, high pressure will
maintain its hold over the northern/northeastern Gulf as well as
the Appalachians. A surface front may approach the Tennessee
Valley on Sunday, but confidence is currently low whether it will
hold together by the time it would progress over our area.
Overall, expect daily chances (30-50%) of showers and storms to
continue from late week through the weekend, especially during the
afternoon and evening hours.

As guidance shows bulk shear values below 20 knots (really only
around 10 knots) through Sunday, no organized severe weather is
anticipated. However, as is usual for the summer time, with ample
instability in the afternoon will come the potential for some
storms to become strong and produce gusty winds and frequent
lightning. In addition, model PWATs range between 1.4-1.8 inches
Thursday and Friday and increase to between 1.7-1.9 inches this
weekend. To put this in perspective, around 1.8-2.0 inch PWATs are
between the 75th and 90th percentiles when compared with BMX
Sounding Climatology. Thus, showers will be efficient rainfall
producers. This may lead to at least minor flooding concerns if
storms move over the same locations repeatedly, especially by this
weekend.

Highs Thursday and Friday will be a tad cooler, with upper 80s to
around 90 degrees anticipated for most locations. Some spots in
the higher elevations of northeast Alabama and southern middle
Tennessee may see highs in the lower to mid 80s both days. By the
weekend, expect highs to warm into the upper 80s to lower 90s.
Meanwhile, lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s will be common from
Thursday night through Saturday night. Warmer temperatures and
elevated moisture will also result in higher heat indices as well,
with values in the upper 90s to around 103-105 degrees both
Saturday and Sunday (especially on Sunday). Although widespread
Heat Advisory criteria is not forecast at this time, it will still
be hot and caution should be taken if outside. Ultimately, if you
have outdoor plans, please stay weather aware and remember heat,
storm, and flood safety! Make sure to drink plenty of water and
take frequent breaks in the shade. If thunder roars, go indoors!
And, turn around, don`t drown if you encounter flooded roads!

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Thursday)
Issued at 938 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025

By the start of the long term forecast high pressure at the
surface and aloft will have made its way west across the FL
Peninsula into the SE CONUS. High pressure will dominate the long
term forecast however we will not reap the the benefits of high
pressure influence (aka subsidence suppressing rain and storm
chances) rather, continued ESE flow will maintain high dew points
in low to mid 70s as well as PWATS just below 2". This moist
environment will combat subsidence from high pressure and amount
to continued medium scattered rain and storm chances each
afternoon through the long term forecast. A lack of forcing will
dissuade any widespread severe chances.

Models diverge slightly on the exact location of high pressure as
we head into the middle of the week. With a warming trend
developing through mid week, the exact location of high pressure
will dictate just how hot we get. Should the high pressure center
be closer to the TN Valley, we will likely be flirting with or
just over Heat Advisory criteria many days next week. Should high
pressure remain slightly further removed, we may not quite reach
the 105 heat index criteria. We will keep a close eye on this
trend as the period draws closer.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

VFR conditions will be the predominant flight category at each
terminal through the period. A few SHRA/TSRA may push through the
area during the morning hours, but coverage was too low to warrant
a mention at this time. More widespread convection will redevelop
later this afternoon and have included a TEMPO for MVFR conditions
later this afternoon/evening at both terminals as SHRA/TSRA will
develop later this afternoon and may produce MVFR conditions. AWWs
and amendments may be needed during the 20-00z timeframe.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...AMP.24
SHORT TERM....26
LONG TERM....RAD
AVIATION...AMP
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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